BELG_2024
(Seasonal Agrometeorologicals)
According to the given climate outlook for Kiremt (JJAS) 2024, above normal rainfall is anticipated to dominate across the central and south Tigray, Afar, East Amhara northern Somali and eastern portions of the country as well as western Tigray, west Amhara, Benishagulgumuz, west Oromiya, Gambella and South western regions of Ethiopia will dominantly receive above normal rainfall and an increased chance of the domination of normal to above normal expected over central and south-western portions of the country.. The onset of the season is also expected to early over south west portions and follows its normal pattern over much of the JJAS rain benefiting areas of the country. Late cessation expected from western, central, eastern and north eastern portions of the country. Occasional heavy rains during July and August may cause of flood across flood prone areas. Moreover the expected La Niña and positive IOD will benefit the south and southeastern portions of the country. They will get rainfall in the coming August and September months. In line with this, the forecasted early onset across the southwestern and normal over much of the JJAS rainfall benefiting areas will favor land preparation and the timely planting of Meher crops. The expected moisture during June possibly will have positive implication for the existing Belg crops as well as long cycle crops which were planted during April and May. Moreover areas which are positioned in the category of dominantly above normal rainfall may have high chance of getting excesses amount of moisture, In the positive aspect this may favors to sustain agricultural production, including long cycle crops which are planted during April and May, Positive contribution for fodder production and water storage and seeding of tree planting (National Green Legacy Program). The late cessation may favor toward satisfying the water need at end of the season.