National Meteorology Agency: Bulletins

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Belg_2023

Seasonal Agrometeorologicals

As for the seasonal outlook for Kiremt 2023, the country is likely to be Most of the recent and prognostic products are indicting the likelihood of continuing of Equatorial sea surface temperatures (SSTs) are near-to-above average across most of the Pacific Ocean and 62% chance of El Niño developing during May-July 2023. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently neutral. In this regard, the expected dominantly normal to above normal rainfall over West Tigray, west Amhara B.Gumuze, west Oromia, Gambella, and south western region in the positive aspect can favorable Meher agricultural activities and planting of long cycle crops. Then proper input should be utilized to take advantage of the relatively better condition in areas of expecting normal to above normal moisture. However, most places under above normal rainfall category are normally known as moisture excess areas, the expected above average rainfall may cause saturation of soil moisture and leading to water logging, soil erosion, weed infestation, and fungus driven crop diseases.

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